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Republicans Don’t Count Your Black Votes Yet

With the 2024 presidential campaign now underway, considerable speculation exists about how much of the Black vote will support Donald Trump. Based on a recent Times/Sienna Poll that contacted only 119 Black potential voters, 23% said they planned to vote for Trump. If you can assess the future Black vote based on only 119 interviews, then 23% will be the highest Black vote for a Republican candidate since 1952, when 24% of the Black vote went to President Dwight Eisenhower. Based on that poll, Donald Trump Jr. has exclaimed that “African American men see Trump as a hero.”  One of the leading Black spokespersons for the MAGA conservatives, Candace Ownes, has stated that “Black voters are turning to Trump over Biden for more opportunities.” My advice to the Trump camp and Candace Owens is to hold up, don’t count your Black votes before the election actually takes place. Other findings contradict what the Republicans claim is growing support for Trump.  Adrianne Shropshire, executive director of Black Pac, a political action committee involved in mobilizing Black vote, rejects the Times/Sienna Poll’s findings. She writes that her organization has conducted focus groups and polled Black voters over the past six months. Their findings suggest that the Black vote for Trump is at a meager 6% to 7%, the same as in 2020. They also asked the voters about their major concerns going into this year’s election. Their answer was the reelection of Trump, and the second most important concern was the growing …

With the 2024 presidential campaign now underway, considerable speculation exists about how much of the Black vote will support Donald Trump. Based on a recent Times/Sienna Poll that contacted only 119 Black potential voters, 23% said they planned to vote for Trump. If you can assess the future Black vote based on only 119 interviews, then 23% will be the highest Black vote for a Republican candidate since 1952, when 24% of the Black vote went to President Dwight Eisenhower. Based on that poll, Donald Trump Jr. has exclaimed that “African American men see Trump as a hero.” 

One of the leading Black spokespersons for the MAGA conservatives, Candace Ownes, has stated that “Black voters are turning to Trump over Biden for more opportunities.”

My advice to the Trump camp and Candace Owens is to hold up, don’t count your Black votes before the election actually takes place. Other findings contradict what the Republicans claim is growing support for Trump. 

Adrianne Shropshire, executive director of Black Pac, a political action committee involved in mobilizing Black vote, rejects the Times/Sienna Poll’s findings. She writes that her organization has conducted focus groups and polled Black voters over the past six months. Their findings suggest that the Black vote for Trump is at a meager 6% to 7%, the same as in 2020. They also asked the voters about their major concerns going into this year’s election. Their answer was the reelection of Trump, and the second most important concern was the growing presence of white nationalism in this country. It is not coincidental that Trump and white nationalism top their concerns. The two are equated as being the same.

The fact that Black Americans are critical of President Biden is not unusual. Michael Harriott of the Grio, a digital media that concentrates on Black cultural, social, political, and economic issues, addressed that concern when he wrote, “Perhaps Black voters are criticizing Joe Biden like they criticized every Democratic president. They were dissatisfied with Bill Clinton’s centrist politics heading into the 1996 election. While Barack Obama was always popular among Black voters, his approval rating reached its lowest point in the months before the 2012 election.” 

Therefore, it is not unusual for Black voters to criticize Biden, but it does not mean they plan to switch parties or vote for Trump.

There is one additional reason why Black Americans will not support Trump. He recently made a ridiculous association when he stated that the Black community should support him because he has been indicted and had his mug shot taken, as if that has anything to do with our race. That obviously ridiculous association should be reason enough for not only Black Americans not to support him but all Americans.

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